Alfred Russel Wallace : Alfred Wallace : A. R. Wallace :
Russel Wallace : Alfred Russell Wallace (sic)
On a Diagram of the Earth's Eccentricity and the
Precession of the Equinoxes, Illustrating Their
Relation to Geological Climate and the
Rate of Organic Change (S171: 1870)
Editor Charles H. Smith's Note: Abstract of a paper Wallace delivered at the Liverpool meetings
of the BAAS in September 1870. This abstract appeared on page 89 of the annual Report of the
sessions, published later that year. To link directly to this page, connect with:
http://www.wku.edu/~smithch/wallace/S171.htm
The author exhibited a diagram of the eccentricity of the
earth's orbit and the precession of the equinoxes, from which he deduced certain
important views as to the climates of past geological ages and the changes of
organic life. During the past three million years the eccentricity has been
almost always much greater than at present, on the average twice as great, and
for long periods more than three times as great. It was shown that when the
eccentricity was greatest the heat received from the sun at the greatest and
least distances was as 3 to 4; and, owing to the precession of the equinoxes,
the winters of the northern hemisphere would be rendered intensely cold and
much longer for periods of 10,500 years, while during the alternate periods
the winters would be mild and short, the summers cool and long, leading to an
almost perpetual spring. We thus have cold or glacial epochs for about 10,000
years, alternating with mild epochs for the same period, whenever the eccentricity
was high, and this was the case for fully the half of the last three million
years; and, as such alternations must have occurred during every glacial epoch,
the fact of intercalated warm periods and the migrations consequent on them,
which have been detected by geologists, must be looked upon as the normal condition
of things. But during the last 60,000 years (probably the whole time elapsed
since the close of the last glacial epoch) the eccentricity has been very small,
and the alternations of climate and consequent migrations very slight; and as
Mr. Darwin holds that alternations of climate are, by means of the consequent
migrations, the most powerful cause of modifications of species, there must
have been a comparative stability of species during that period of time, from
which alone we obtain our idea of the rate of specific change. This idea will
therefore be erroneous; and the rate of change during past geological ages may
have been, and probably was, much more rapid than has hitherto been thought
possible. During three million years before and one million after the recent
epoch, no less than 130 alternations of climate occurred (each of 10,000 years'
duration), when the eccentricity was more than double what it is now; and these
incessant changes were thought, on Darwinian principles, to supply a vera
causa for a rapid change of species, and thus enable us considerably to
reduce the duration of geologic periods, which had heretofore been measured
by data derived from the period of organic stability since the last global epoch.
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